I've re-done one of the plots using the last "preflight" RASAero II input file. Changes 1) through 5) noted previously have not been made to this file, this is the last "preflight" file. The file is attached below.
As Kip noted, all work on the creation of the .eng motor data files was completed prior to the flight.
The input file contains no adjusting of the Sustainer (Stage-2) Ignition Delay to match the flight data, the original planned ignition delay is used.
The input file has no adjusting of the launch angle to match the downrange distance at apogee. The flight is straight up.
There is No Wind.
The only thing that will be "switched " on the input file is the Surface Finish of Smooth Paint, or Rough Camouflage Paint. The attached file has Rough Camouflage Paint.
So to bracket the RASAero II flight prediction, both Smooth Paint and Rough Camouflage Paint were run.
I literally could have printed out this plot and handed it out at the launch site just prior to the launch.
And then after the flight, using the actual Sustainer (Stage-2) Ignition delay which differed from the preflight simulation (which used the preflight planned/expected delay), and the launch angle from vertical adjusted to match the GPS measured downrange distance at apogee, you get the following Postflight RASAero II Flight Simulations.
Note that using some of the data from the flight for the Postflight RASAero II Simulations, using the actual Sustainer (Stage-2) Ignition delay which differed from the preflight planned delay, and the launch angle from vertical adjusted to match the GPS measured downrange distance at apogee, the RASAero II accuracy actually went down, the preflight simulation was actually more accurate. Using data from the flight to try to get more accuracy isn't the point. The point is that by using the actual Sustainer ignition delay and the actual downrange distance at apogee allows a better assessment of the accuracy of the RASAero II aerodynamic and flight simulation models relative to the flight data.
As noted previously there was already a previous multi-stage rocket, with delay staging on the stages, where the Mach 3 to Mach 4 portion of the flight occurred at higher altitudes than previous Mach 3 to Mach 3+ rockets, where the data from this flight indicated a Surface Finish of Smooth Paint was more appropriate. Data from this flight was shown previously, it is repeated below.
So the predicted altitude for the flight was bracketed, and the flight provided a second data point that for multi-stage rockets with delay staging Smooth Paint is the more appropriate Surface Finish setting.
Charles E. (Chuck) Rogers
Rogers Aeroscience